CEU eTD Collection (2010); Klochkova, Margarita Sergeyevna: Multilateralizing the Nuclear Fuel Cycle: A New Universal International Regime to Strengthen Non-proliferation

CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2010
Author Klochkova, Margarita Sergeyevna
Title Multilateralizing the Nuclear Fuel Cycle: A New Universal International Regime to Strengthen Non-proliferation
Summary The risk of proliferation of nuclear weapons is closely associated with the risk of sensitive technologies proliferation. Due to anticipated nuclear renaissance the threat of sensitive technologies proliferation is of current importance. A new approach has to be found to prevent the spread but at the same time to fulfill the provisions of Article 4 of the Nonproliferation Treaty since compliance with the Treaty is essential to keep the nonproliferation regime stable.
The concept of multilateral nuclear fuel cycle is a response to this challenge. A number of proposals on its practical implementation have been made in recent years; mostly they are uncoordinated and not systemized. For the proposed arrangements to be effective they have to be universal, that is, engage all countries; otherwise they will fail to meet their goal that is to prevent the spread of sensitive technologies.
In the thesis I am addressing the question of whether states would join an arrangement yet even more restrictive than the non-proliferation regime at the beginning was. For this purpose I analyze and classify proposals by five specially invented criteria. On the basis of the analysis a new regulatory regime is introduced that combines elements of compatible proposals into a unified structure. To define whether countries would join the regime I apply two-level game theory. As a result, it was found that generally countries would join the arrangements and, though in some cases the process would be heavily hampered, the universal character of the arrangements is achievable.
Supervisor Tamas Meszerics, Gennady Pshakin
Department Political Science MA
Full texthttps://www.etd.ceu.edu/2010/klochkova_margarita-sergeyevna.pdf

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