CEU eTD Collection (2011); Kolomiiets, Nataliia: Development of the Ukrainian electricity system: addressing environment considerations through scenario analysis

CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2011
Author Kolomiiets, Nataliia
Title Development of the Ukrainian electricity system: addressing environment considerations through scenario analysis
Summary The main strategic features for the development of the electricity system in Ukraine are security, affordability and mitigation of environmental impacts. However, not all of them are equally addressed in the energy planning. The planning process is mainly based on economic and political considerations, while environmental issues are left outside the planning framework. Therefore this work is focused on the potential directions of the electricity sector development under the condition that environmental considerations are embedded in the planning. The research investigates possible paths for the system development through scenario analysis, which is rarely used approach in Ukraine. Three main scenarios have been elaborated based on the changes in crucial parameters of the system. The key strategic message that is derived from the analysis and comparison of the scenarios is that the development of the electricity system should be focused on energy efficiency of industry and households at the first place with the gradual transformation of supply system from fossil fuels to renewable sources of energy. The estimations show that the feasible decrease in energy intensity of two main electricity consuming sectors could bring savings of 91 TWh of electricity and decrease of CO2 emissions in 50 million tonnes annually in 20 years.
Supervisor Pintér, László
Department Environment Sciences and Policy MSc
Full texthttps://www.etd.ceu.edu/2011/kolomiiets_nataliia.pdf

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