CEU eTD Collection (2011); Simonovits, Gabor: Closeness and Turnout in Runoff Elections Evidence from Hungary

CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2011
Author Simonovits, Gabor
Title Closeness and Turnout in Runoff Elections Evidence from Hungary
Summary This study aims at contributing to the literature on the effect of political competition on turnout. I test the Downsian Closeness Hypothesis (DCH) on data from runoffs in General
Elections in Hungary. The expected closeness of the runoffs is proxied with first round margins. Also I consider estimation procedures that take it into account that the dependent variable is a fraction. The findings are consistent with the DCH: increases in margins between parties in the first round significantly decrease turnout in the second, even when turnout in the first round is controlled for. This is in line with the theoretical considerations of the DCH but contrary to a large part of the existing empirical literature.
Supervisor Kezdi, Gabor
Department Economics MA
Full texthttps://www.etd.ceu.edu/2011/simonovits_gabor.pdf

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