CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2012
| Author | Gilfanova, Irina |
|---|---|
| Title | Application of SWAT modelling for assessment of ecosystem goods and services in the Azov Sea basin |
| Summary | The current research is devoted to application of SWAT modelling for assessment of ecosystem goods and services (EGS) using the Azov Sea Basin as a case study. The Upper Don River sub-catchment has been chosen for this purpose as a vital Azov ecosystem component, providing a high number of EGS in the region, including water supply for the Tsimlyansk reservoir, the largest freshwater body in the Azov Sea basin. The SWAT model has been developed for the study area and calibrated using historical meteorological and hydrological data. Then four scenarios of potential regional development including land use and climate changes have been formulated and analyzed using spatial analysis techniques. It was concluded that for all scenarios the important hydrological parameters of the Upper Don River will decrease significantly by 2050. As a result the water inflow into the Tsimlyansk reservoir will be reduced by 28-36% threatening provision of EGS in the region. The developed model can be used for the evaluation of alternative water management strategies and the regional development. Based on the assessment the recommendations for researchers applying SWAT for EGS assessment and the Azov Sea basin decision-makers have been developed. The developed model and created datasets can be used as a foundation for basin-wide decision-support tool in water management and an incentive for the regional transboundary cross-sectoral cooperation. The study contributes to the European FP7 Project EnviroGRIDS “Building Capacity for a Black Sea Catchment Observation and Assessment System supporting Sustainable Development” by providing additional case study for data collection, analysis and framework testing. Keywords: SWAT, environmental modelling, GIS,ecosystem goods and services, Azov Sea, Don River, Tsimlyansk reservoir, water supply, Geographic Information Systems, spatial analysis, ArcGIS |
| Supervisor | Lagutov, Viktor |
| Department | Environment Sciences and Policy MSc |
| Full text | https://www.etd.ceu.edu/2012/gilfanova_irina.pdf |
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