CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2012
Author | Goralski, Pawel |
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Title | Home Region Advantage in Presidential Elections in Europe 1990 - 2010 |
Summary | The study analyzes home region advantage phenomenon developed in US literature from the European angle. By application of linear regression home region advantage is measured in 1990-2010 presidential elections in fifteen European states. In result, statistically the level of home region advantage equals 3.62 pp in Europe and is comparable with US findings. It confirms the assumption that home region is one of information shortcuts used by voters in Europe. Major three determinants of the degree of advantage are: origin of the candidate, the fact if the region is peripheral or capital and party support in the region. Some important factors such as size of the region or incumbency did not satisfy the level of significance. In effect, home region advantage does not have universal character and is countryspecific. The numbers of outliers detected suggest that Ukraine is the example the most visibly exposed to the effects of home region advantage. Application of home region advantage in political practice remains unclear, however it might be decisive in a situation when two candidates are close to each other in presidential elections. |
Supervisor | Littvay Levente |
Department | Political Science MA |
Full text | https://www.etd.ceu.edu/2012/goralski_pawel.pdf |
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