CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2014
| Author | Brazhko, Illia |
|---|---|
| Title | The Factors Behind Electoral Revolutions In The Postcommunist World |
| Summary | This thesis is an attempt to address the question why rigged elections lead to electoral revolutions only in some postcommunist countries. This regime transition took place in Serbia, Georgia, Ukraine, and Kyrgyzstan, but not in other countries with a similar context. The main assumption of the research is that there is a set of factors that are responsible for this variation of outcomes. My approach in identifying these factors is twofold. First, I develop a theoretical framework based on three theories, related to the subject matter of electoral revolution phenomena: modernization, regime breakdown, and collective action theories. This framework suggests ten factors that make rigged elections in a given postcommunist country convert into an electoral revolution. Second, I conduct a comparative case study of presidential elections in Ukraine in 2004 and in Belarus in 2006 to test these factors. The elections in both countries were rigged, but consequent protests were successful only in Ukraine. Comparing the two countries shows that two theoretically derived factors appear not to be significant, while other eight are good antecedents of successful electoral revolutions in the postcommunist world. |
| Supervisor | Sata, Robert |
| Department | Political Science MA |
| Full text | https://www.etd.ceu.edu/2014/brazhko_illia.pdf |
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