CEU eTD Collection (2015); Gurzó, Klára: The long term effects of early tracking in schools. A natural experiment in Hungary

CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2015
Author Gurzó, Klára
Title The long term effects of early tracking in schools. A natural experiment in Hungary
Summary This thesis contributes to the debate about early student selection by investigating the long term effects of the Hungarian tracking policy throughout the 1990’s. My question is whether the selection of students is able to fulfil its goal by increasing the efficiency of education and improving the labor market outcomes of students. The thesis exploits the space and time variation of the selective schools’ establishment combining administrative data about the former students’ employment status, tertiary education rates and occupational choice. I estimate OLS regressions with municipality and time fixed effects, and compare the birth cohorts from 1976 to 1989 in the same municipality before and after the policy implementation. Using event-study methodology allows to exploit the pattern of the outcome variables year by year. According to my empirical findings, the structural change of the Hungarian school system did not have significant average effect on the long run. Both the fixed effects and event-study estimates resulted in zero effects with small standard errors. The zero tertiary education effect suggests that the Hungarian policy could not fulfil its expectations and prepare the selected children better for higher education then the pre-reform system.
Supervisor Kezdi, Gabor
Department Economics MA
Full texthttps://www.etd.ceu.edu/2015/gurzo_klara.pdf

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