CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2015
| Author | Kitchen, Anthony John |
|---|---|
| Title | CAN NORTH KOREA BE DENUCLEARIZED? THE IRAN CASE AND AN ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK FOR THE SIX-PARTY TALKS |
| Summary | Negotiations with Iran and North Korea over the previous several years have failed to produce an agreement over their nuclear programs. Mutual distrust, preconditions and ultimatums, and poor negotiation strategy has likely been the cause. But a new multilateral framework agreement on Iran’s nuclear program could offer an insight on how the Six-Party Talks can denuclearize North Korea. To analyze this potential, a framework created by James K. Sebenius and Michael K. Singh conceptualizes a visual “zone of possible agreement” by graphically placing each parties’ interests in order to show if and how a deal can be designed. The focus is on finding overlapping interests, no-deal points, and where a deal might exist. Applying the Iran negotiations to the assumed interests and no-deal options of North Korea, it appears a nuclear agreement is possible. A value-enhanced, focused deal for the North Korean regime is preferable over a no-deal option. However, this success would require a new negotiation strategy by the United States. A continued focus on “at-the-table” issues and tactics will produce the same failures. Simultaneously worsening a no-deal outcome and increasing the value of the agreement will follow the success of the Iranian negotiations. Contrary to what past talks have done, negotiating the nuclear issue and not the people is the best strategy for opening a zone of agreement. Growing off the Iran framework, a sophisticated deal for a manageable program creates a path for a successful nuclear deal with North Korean. |
| Supervisor | Youngmi Kim |
| Department | International Relations MA |
| Full text | https://www.etd.ceu.edu/2015/kitchen_anthony.pdf |
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