CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2015
| Author | Szabó, Márton Bence |
|---|---|
| Title | Why is it hard to defeat an incumbent president in the United States? |
| Summary | This thesis tries to explain why incumbent presidents usually win elections in the United States again after their first tenure. I built a theoretical model in that voters cast their ballot based not only on the policy choices of the candidates but also based on their talent level. Primary elections have a crucial role in my model because they allow for the incumbent to choose more moderate policy and help him to win the general election. I also show in my model that the chances of the other party can depend on the number of their primary candidates. |
| Supervisor | Szeidl, Ádám György |
| Department | Economics MA |
| Full text | https://www.etd.ceu.edu/2015/szabo_marton.pdf |
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