CEU eTD Collection (2016); Frenkil, Eric Stuart: Digital Development as an Alternate Path to Growth for LDCs

CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2016
Author Frenkil, Eric Stuart
Title Digital Development as an Alternate Path to Growth for LDCs
Summary For more than three decades, the prevailing wisdom on how poor nations should gain wealth has been to grow their industrial base to export more goods overseas. Yet for least-developed countries (LDCs), the path to industrialization is riddled with structural barriers. Faced with competition from Asian growth ‘miracles,’ the hurdle has steepened and export-led growth has come under new waves of scrutiny.
International financial institutions have begun to promote an alternative paradigm – investing in internet connectivity as a path to exporting services, rather than goods, on the global economy. In this thesis, I assess whether that emergent paradigm is a suitable alternative to export-led growth for LDCs. Drawing on interdisciplinary literature, I contextualize the two approaches within international relations and compare them along five criteria using qualitative and statistical methods. I present four theoretical frameworks for understanding the internet as an economic force and construct a measure using industry data that I call ‘internet consumption per capita’ to model usage intensity in 177 economies.
I find that digital development does not presently appear to be a suitable macroeconomic alternative for the bulk of LDCs, chiefly owing to limited market value and concentrations of wealth in relatively higher-income economies, although I suggest certain subcategories of LDCs for which this path may still prove preferable. These findings call for pause and policy reflectiveness among international institutions promoting digital development, questioning whether such a path will usher in ‘digital dividends’ or lead to another ‘trip down the rabbit hole’ for 48 economies.
Supervisor Kemmerling, Achim
Department International Relations MA
Full texthttps://www.etd.ceu.edu/2016/frenkil_eric.pdf

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