CEU eTD Collection (2016); Juhász, Boldizsár: Chinese imports and labor market outcomes: evidence from Hungary

CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2016
Author Juhász, Boldizsár
Title Chinese imports and labor market outcomes: evidence from Hungary
Summary I study the relationship between increasing import competition from China and local labor market outcomes in Hungarian micro-regions between 1995 and 2007, looking at three separate 4-year-long time windows. I focus on changes in manufacturing and non-manufacturing employment rates and unemployment rates as outcome variables. I try to fix the potential bias of the original import exposure variable using an instrumental variable strategy recently proposed in the literature.
I argue that the effects of total imports are ambiguous, and use only imports of consumption goods in most estimations, where the applied methodology actually works much better. I estimate a variety of models but do not find a statistically significant relationship between import exposure and these labor market outcomes in almost any of these.
Supervisor Békés, Gábor
Department Economics MA
Full texthttps://www.etd.ceu.edu/2016/juhasz_boldizsar.pdf

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