CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2016
| Author | Pass, Dániel |
|---|---|
| Title | Revolutions and Contagion |
| Summary | Revolutionary waves occur time after time in the history, two obvious examples are the Spring of Nations in the 19th century or the Arab Spring started in 2010. In my thesis, I build a model of contagion to study the conditions which can explain the evolution of these revolutionary chains among countries of similar characteristics. First, I introduce the Barberà-Jackson model which is the building block of my framework. Next, I present my own model and show the necessary constraints which must be satisfied to the development of revolutionary contagion among two and three countries. I show that observing a successful revolution in a country can induce people in other countries to revolt, too. Furthermore, I also point out that people in some countries need to learn the action of more predecessor countries to change their mind and take the streets. This result is also in line with patterns emerged in historical cases. Lastly, a graphical solution is also presented to illustrate my findings, i.e. the existence of the equilibria in which contagion of revolution in every country happens. |
| Supervisor | Szeidl, Ádám |
| Department | Economics MA |
| Full text | https://www.etd.ceu.edu/2016/pass_daniel.pdf |
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