CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2017
| Author | Szűcs, Donát |
|---|---|
| Title | How Do Eurosceptics Vote? Attitudes Towards the European Union and Party Choice in European Elections |
| Summary | This research examines the relationship between attitudes towards the European Union and voting choice in European elections. Based on post-election survey data from the 2014 European elections, the analysis builds on multivariate logistic regression models to estimate the effects of individual EU attitudes and left-right ideology on voting for Eurosceptic parties. Using rational choice institutionalism as theoretical framework, the thesis explores country- level differences in the effect of individual level Euroscepticism on voting for Eurosceptic parties. By analyzing the variance of weighted country-level estimates, the thesis also discusses the overall similarities and differences in models with alternative explanatory variables of the Eurosceptic vote (attitudes on immigration and redistribution). The findings are clear: in most of older member states, positive EU attitudes have a significant and substantial negative effect on voting for Eurosceptic parties. In Central and Eastern Europe, EU attitudes do not have a significant effect, but left-right ideology is a prominent determinant of the Eurosceptic vote. The analysis also shows that voters of left-wing Eurosceptic parties are voting based on their left-wing affiliations, while the reasons for the right-wing Eurosceptic vote are very different across countries. |
| Supervisor | Tóka, Gábor |
| Department | Political Science MA |
| Full text | https://www.etd.ceu.edu/2017/szucs_donat.pdf |
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