CEU eTD Collection (2018); Sanyó, Ádám: Predicting the Outcome of the 2018 Hungarian General Elections

CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2018
Author Sanyó, Ádám
Title Predicting the Outcome of the 2018 Hungarian General Elections
Summary In March 2018, several websites had been created to inform voters about the strongest candidate in each voting district. Using the 2014 election data, I published my predictions on the website taktikaiszavazas.hu (literally meaning “tactical voting”). The site focused on all districts and worked with an adjusted uniform national swing (UNS) model, which was crafted from 20 constituency polls commissioned by Közös Ország Mozgalom (Common Country Movement) an NGO and activist group that tried to facilitate voter participation in the elections.
Supervisor Koren, Miklós
Department Business School MSc
Full texthttps://www.etd.ceu.edu/2018/sanyo_adam.pdf

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