CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2019
| Author | Bilalova, Shahana |
|---|---|
| Title | Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Hydrology of the Kura River Basin |
| Summary | Impacts of climate change on hydrology is inevitable due to the direct and indirect linkages. Therefore, considering the significance of the hydrology of the Kura River and its tributaries for the basin countries and increasing intensity of the climate change, the research aimed at assessing the climate change impacts on the hydrology of the basin. To achieve this research aim, statistical methods were utilized to identify the trends and change points in hydroclimatic variables, and to detect the correlation between hydrological and climatic indices. Based on the results of the trend analysis, certain patterns both in terms of streamflow and climatic indices were captured. While in Georgia streamflow of Kura River experienced an increasing trend, especially during cold months, a serious decrease was detected in Azerbaijan for most months. Furthermore, the analysis of climatic indices also signals certain patterns aligning with climate change characteristics such as increase in precipitation in cold months as well as increase in temperature generally. Correlation analysis further carried out also highlighted the impacts of these changes since the early snowmelts caused by the increasing temperature and precipitation, Kura River experienced an increase in streamflow for the cold months, while for the dry months certain decrease is the case due to the increase in temperature of the region. To conclude, the results explain that impact of climate change on hydrology of the study area is already observed and by time, it is more likely to be intensified due to the increasing temperature and changes in rainfall. |
| Supervisor | Viktor Lagutov |
| Department | Environment Sciences and Policy MSc |
| Full text | https://www.etd.ceu.edu/2019/bilalova_shahana.pdf |
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