CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2020
| Author | Achaval Torre, Josefina |
|---|---|
| Title | Climate Change Adaptation Through a Security Lens: A Conflict-Sensitivity Approach to Peacebuilding in the Ferghana Valley of Central Asia |
| Summary | The idea of climate change as a threat multiplier implies that political stability is threatened by the increasing frequency of climate-induced disasters which, when added to increasing competition over access to natural resources, can lead to conflict in areas where peace is already fragile, decreasing human security. The Ferghana Valley was designated as the highest climate change security-risk area in Central Asia (Novikov and Kelly 2017). Achieving effective climate change adaptation requires accounting for climate-fragility risks and an overall view of the dynamics between and within countries. My research findings indicate that there is a high willingness to incorporate conflict-sensitivity into climate adaptation measures in the region. A combination of theoretical and empirical research shows that the integration of resilience, peacebuilding, and environmental security can help achieve peaceful adaptation. For that, I first determine how environmental factors contribute to conflict-sensitivity in the Ferghana Valley in the context of climate change, applying a conflict analysis framework to data obtained through literature review and content analysis. Then, I examine how a conflict-sensitive approach can be integrated into the countries’ National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) to reduce security risks and enhance resilience in the region. I also assess the political feasibility of doing so, looking at the Readiness and Preparatory Support Proposals and performing interviews with country representatives, practitioners, and regional specialists. As a result, I propose a Conflict-Sensitivity Framework applicable to NAPs as a way to achieve peaceful adaptation. |
| Supervisor | Antypas, Alexios |
| Department | Environment Sciences and Policy MSc |
| Full text | https://www.etd.ceu.edu/2020/achaval_josefina.pdf |
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