CEU eTD Collection (2023); Rozikova, Gulsanam: The Ripple Effect: Assessing the Economic Implications of Leadership Transition in Authoritarian Regimes. A Case Study of Uzbekistan.

CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2023
Author Rozikova, Gulsanam
Title The Ripple Effect: Assessing the Economic Implications of Leadership Transition in Authoritarian Regimes. A Case Study of Uzbekistan.
Summary This paper studies the impact of leadership transition on economic growth and business performance in autocratic regimes. The case study involves utilizing the unexpected power shift in Uzbekistan due to the sudden death of the long-ruling
President Islam Karimov in 2016. Difference in Differences design and Fixed Effects methods were applied to isolate the post-treatment effect. The analysis shows controversial results as in the existing literature. The results reveal that power shift and the reforms that came with it have positive relationship with economic growth, whereas their impact on the business performance is not statistically significant.
Supervisor Julius Horvath
Department Economics MA
Full texthttps://www.etd.ceu.edu/2023/rozikova_gulsanam.pdf

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