CEU eTD Collection (2024); Omen, Aizada: Procurement Peril: Examining the Nexus between the Contract Scale and Corruption Vulnerability

CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2024
Author Omen, Aizada
Title Procurement Peril: Examining the Nexus between the Contract Scale and Corruption Vulnerability
Summary This thesis is dedicated to examining the relationship between contract magnitudes and corruption risk indicators within Kazakhstan’s public procurement system. The study aims to contribute to public policy by offering detailed and nuanced empirical insights on the strength and direction of the relationship between the government contracting scales, determined by both the price and implementation duration aspects, and four prominent integrity risk indicators: the use of non-open procedures, advertisement period length, submitted bid counts, and relative price increases. The study employs logistic and linear regression models to determine the combinations of contract price and duration levels most vulnerable to these corruption risks. Key findings of the study include that larger contracts exhibit stronger inclinations towards the use of open procedures and longer advertisement periods. However, the positive effects of contract durations on the likelihood of an open procedure are mitigated by the prices of the contracts, and vice versa. Furthermore, contracts with larger budgets are at greater risk of relative price increases when their duration is short. The risk of a small count of submitted bids significantly increases as the implementation extends for longer periods for contracts with bigger budgets and “approaching bidders” procurement procedures, whereas for contracts acquired via open and competitive dialogue procedures, contract magnitudes do not significantly impact the bidding behavior.
Supervisor Fazekas, Mihály
Department Public Policy MA
Full texthttps://www.etd.ceu.edu/2024/omen_aizada.pdf

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