CEU eTD Collection (2018); Caffrey, Kevin Thomas: 'Non-interference' with Chinese Characteristics: China's Influence in Foreign Intrastate Conflicts

CEU Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2018
Author Caffrey, Kevin Thomas
Title 'Non-interference' with Chinese Characteristics: China's Influence in Foreign Intrastate Conflicts
Summary Chinese foreign policy has come under increasing scrutiny in recent years, given its rapidly growing military power and economic integration with the international community. Among academics, one of the more contentiously debated aspects of its foreign policy is its principle of ‘non-int erference. 19; Literature thus far has been inconclusive regarding China’s adherence to this self-imposed principle. This paper attempts to contribute to this scholarly discussion by examining whether China adheres to the principle of ‘non-int erference. 19; It does so by examining if Chinese support for rebel organization leads to violence against civilians. This analysis stems from previous literature, which indicates external support from a non-democratic foreign patron leads to violence against civilians. The relationship is examined within the framework of the principal-agent theory. Given this theoretical foundation, I perform quantitative analysis of the hypothesis by adopting the general methodology of Salehyan et al. With zero-inflated negative binomial regression, I show that there is good empirical support that Chinese support for rebel groups leads to violence against civilians, at least in countries where China is involved.
Supervisor Li, Andrew Xiang
Department International Relations MA
Full texthttps://www.etd.ceu.edu/2018/caffrey_kevin.pdf

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